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The most obvious explanation for this shift is, in the end, a cynical one.
When Moore's numbers went into the toilet, Republicans abandoned him in droves, reluctant to be the last person still standing beside their party's disgraced predator du jour.
Since 1960, the state's electoral votes have gone to the Republican presidential nominee all but three times. Nearly half of adults identify as evangelical voters, and Donald Trump won a greater percentage of the electorate in 2016 than Mitt Romney did four years earlier.
While the Moore allegations would have buried a candidate just about anywhere else, Alabama is not like anywhere else, and there remains a very-much-nonzero chance that on Tuesday, it sends a man who makes no apology for his pursuit of teenage girls to the United States Senate.
The same Republican National Committee that cut ties with the campaign and withdrew from their fundraising agreements just turned the faucets back on.
And Ted Cruz, two weeks after pulling his endorsement with a workshopped one-liner that he imagined to be at once principled and pithy—"Grown men don't typically sign high school girls' yearbooks"—contracted a sudden case of unapologetically hypocritical amnesia.
Polling numbers that had shown a big boost for Jones when the news first broke are now shifting quietly back in Moore's direction.
And in what is almost certainly not a coincidence, Republican luminaries who vowed to close the door on Moore, fiercely condemning his actions and publicly calling for him to drop out of the race, are coming up with clever reasons to leave that door ajar.
pic.twitter.com/169YSHl Xym — Nick Storm (@NStorm_Politics) November 13, 2017 BRITAIN.The latest polls show Moore holding a slight lead over Jones, but in this reddest-of-red territory, where Democrats' built-in partisan disadvantage usually proves insurmountable, even getting within the margin of error is a grimly surprising development.Alabama hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1990, when Howell Heflin—whose policy agenda would be much more comfortable in the Republican Party were he to come along in 2017—won what would be his final term. Byrd and George Wallace—a pair of third-party candidates who ran on their virulent opposition to school integration after the Supreme Court's decision in Today, all of the major elected officials in the state's executive branch are Republicans, and the GOP enjoys comfortable supermajorities in both chambers of the legislature, too.While Trump's support was a bit more vociferous, he worked hard to make clear that he is less concerned about electing Moore than he is about not electing Jones."We need his vote on stopping crime, illegal immigration, Border Wall, Military, Pro Life, V.
Ceri Goddard, who helped organise the event, says it “reminded locals that amongst them there are thousands of gay and lesbian people”.